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Why polls don’t quell New Democrat jitters
Most BC surveys give NDP solid edge but several factors keep swing ridings in play. By Tom Barrett May 13, 2013 TheTyee.ca May 10 vote mob at Vancouver’s Roundhouse, where over 400 people lined up to...
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For pollsters, an Alberta-sized mess
But maybe one way to look at it is that polls don’t drive democracy. By Tom Barrett May 15, 2013 TheTyee.ca Fooled by prediction: NDP members hear from Adrian Dix on election night. Photo by Joshua...
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Did negative politics crush positive?
Or did Christy Clark just run a better campaign, period? By Tom Barrett May 15, 2013 TheTyee.ca Premer Christy Clark. Photo by Carlos Tello. It won’t be hard to find people who will point to tonight’s...
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In key ridings, NDP failed to improve on 2009 results
By Tom Barrett May 15, 2013 TheTyee.ca One big reason the new B.C. political map looks so much like the old one is the NDP’s inability to pick up ridings they almost won in 2009. Four hours after the...
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In a Greenless world, would the NDP have won?
To decide, look at 13 lost New Democrat ridings where the Greens factored in. By Tom Barrett May 15, 2013 TheTyee.ca NDP: Stolen victory? Judge for yourself. Photo by Joshua Berson. Imagine a British...
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Behind BC’s pollster fail
Were they foiled by the ’10-second Socred’? A look at several possibilities. By Tom Barrett May 17 2013 TheTyee.ca “Any election is like a horse race, in that you can tell more about it the next day.”...
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Green gains likely came at BC Libs’ expense
Further election number crunching that suggests the centre-left vote split is myth. By Tom Barrett May 31, 2013 TheTyee.ca Andrew Weaver, first Green MLA in B.C., on May 14 election night. Photo by...
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The weight on a BC pollster’s shoulders
Many flubbed their May 14 election calls. Here’s one who thinks he knows why. By Tom Barrett June 21, 2013 TheTyee.ca Ipsos Reid’s Kyle Braid unravels the mystery of his election-night failure. Photo:...
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A modest proposal…
May election results reveal a surprising new voter bloc for the BC NDP. By Tom Barrett TheTyee.ca Final results from May show the NDP made gains in some of B.C.’s wealthiest ridings. Orange champagne...
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Pollster Calls BS on BC Libs’ Private Election Polls
‘Show me the numbers,’ demands Insights West president, who says voters simply changed their minds. By Tom Barrett TheTyee.ca “It’s very easy after the fact, once you’ve won, to say, ‘We knew it all...
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